Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 143.009500 168.087120 198.574000 239.134739 292.920568 363.720242 467.510748
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 110.341116 139.389914 178.917781 239.198130 334.110663 489.104592 792.771294
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 90.849584 119.175508 160.133054 227.684458 346.015848 570.157204 1123.859279
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 82.361938 111.867704 157.046571 237.550253 395.259204 749.322800 1940.751174
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 72.552519 100.651709 145.228880 228.700726 405.066008 853.555205 2823.341325
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 66.832631 94.744898 140.682455 231.380392 439.877876 1055.819221 5026.913371
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 61.020960 87.844575 133.170533 226.224357 454.455963 1217.825677 8521.265044
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 60.025188 88.642437 139.194792 250.252752 556.818047 1874.630993 44585.920834
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 60.279142 91.530202 149.529511 287.355855 728.214813 3473.774016 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 56.541712 86.882785 144.411516 286.010382 771.795025 4491.896032 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 53.839171 83.810487 141.992479 290.969297 845.776536 6446.958755 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 51.282091 80.734802 139.102548 293.933771 916.529440 9422.601104 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 48.267417 76.959239 135.168294 296.047539 1006.243619 16227.651890 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 45.408784 73.259106 131.015834 297.046673 1102.337918 32528.146155 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 41.889781 67.898125 122.309700 281.236578 1083.194845 44236.736003 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 40.484917 66.563064 122.611033 294.695396 1283.475106 294687.586875 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 37.850009 62.505641 115.942791 282.628669 1282.674463 947640.737601 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 36.286121 60.486915 113.887620 286.275117 1426.273787 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 34.363623 57.567464 109.260560 279.264707 1467.017105 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 34.343258 58.593006 114.567800 312.128539 2041.680716 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 34.802374 60.683372 123.051598 363.818439 3305.068433 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 33.370970 58.510266 119.765149 361.924508 3629.908337 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 32.319256 57.096502 118.394774 368.911977 4291.970353 NaN NaN